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This page explains how the Durability Score is built — the components, the evidence behind each one, and the named sources. For who this work fits and what a career path through it looks like, see the Deep Read. For your personalized match, take the free quiz.
Where the 59 comes from.

Three components - Automation Resistance, Structural Moat, and Demand - add up to 59.

Data note

This score covers the postsecondary-teacher family as a whole. Discipline, institution type, tenure status, and adjunct/contingent labor exposure differ materially; the representative AI/qualitative row is used because the family aggregate does not publish every exposure field.

FJP Durability Score
59/100
Automation Resistance
21/40

Routine content, grading, tutoring, and course-shell work create real AI exposure, especially in large intro classes, while advanced mentorship, live discussion, lab or studio supervision, clinical teaching, and research judgment still need people with field depth.

Sub-components
Substitution Resistance
17/30

Observed AI exposure for the representative education-faculty occupation is 26.21%, with modeled median job-loss risk at 23.66%. That puts faculty work in a more exposed range than licensed K-12 classroom teaching. AI reaches content prep, quizzes, grading support, tutoring, and course shells directly; advanced mentorship, lab or studio supervision, clinical teaching, and research judgment still require people.

Sources feeding this sub-component
Anthropic / Massenkoff-McCrory observed exposure → Shows 26.21% observed AI exposure for the representative education-faculty occupation.
Tufts American AI Jobs Risk Index → Shows 23.66% modeled median job-loss risk for education faculty, with discipline variation across the larger faculty family.
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook - Postsecondary Teachers → Describes college teaching, advising, research, and discipline-specific settings that limit full software replacement.
Augmentation Leverage
4/10

AI support is useful for draft lectures, summaries, reading guides, feedback, rubrics, advising triage, and administrative work. The worker upside is limited because institutions can also standardize courses, reuse shells, raise teaching loads, or shift more work to contingent instructors. The tools help, but colleges can capture much of the productivity gain.

Sources feeding this sub-component
Anthropic Economic Index primitives → Documents AI use around drafting, tutoring, summarizing, feedback, and routine communication tasks.
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook - Postsecondary Teachers → Shows the teaching, advising, grading, research, and service tasks where productivity gains can be split between instructors and institutions.
Structural Moat
23/35

Doctorates, terminal degrees, accreditation, program standards, and discipline reputation create a real barrier to entry, but that barrier protects full-time faculty much more than adjunct or standardized course delivery in lower-control teaching lanes with weak bargaining power.

Sub-components
Physical & Environmental
4/10

Faculty work is mostly classrooms, offices, online platforms, labs, studios, field sites, and clinical teaching settings. The representative physical data is thin, so the score leans on work-setting evidence: not office-only, but not consistently physical enough to create a high barrier. Discipline-specific lab, clinical, studio, and field work lifts the score above pure desk work.

Sources feeding this sub-component
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook - Postsecondary Teachers → Describes classroom, office, online, laboratory, research, and field-specific work settings.
BLS Occupational Requirements Survey → Provides the federal physical-requirements source checked for the representative education-faculty occupation.
Regulatory Moat
6/12

Postsecondary faculty do not have one uniform state license. The protection comes from accreditation, terminal-degree expectations, professional-program standards, research compliance, student privacy rules, and discipline-specific licenses in some fields. Those rules shape who colleges can hire, but they protect programs and qualifications more than individual teaching seats.

Sources feeding this sub-component
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook - Postsecondary Teachers → Explains typical education requirements and field-specific expectations for postsecondary faculty.
Council for Higher Education Accreditation → Supports the accreditation context around institutional and program standards.
US Department of Education accreditation overview → Explains the federal role of accreditation in higher education quality and eligibility.
Robotics Resistance
8/8

Robotics is not the main threat to faculty work. Teaching, advising, research supervision, studio critique, clinical instruction, and academic judgment do not have a broad robot replacement path. The pressure comes from software, course delivery, staffing models, and enrollment economics rather than physical automation.

Sources feeding this sub-component
IFR World Robotics service robots executive summary → Shows service-robot deployment patterns; college teaching is not a broad robot-substitution use case.
Credential Depth
5/5

Many full-time faculty roles require a doctorate, terminal professional degree, Master of Fine Arts, publication record, clinical expertise, or discipline reputation. That is a deep barrier for entry and advancement. It does not guarantee a stable seat, because adjunct roles can use similar teaching skills without the same security.

Sources feeding this sub-component
O*NET 30.2 Database → Lists Job Zone 5 for the representative education-faculty occupation.
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook - Postsecondary Teachers → Describes doctoral, professional, master's, and field-specific education pathways for faculty roles.
Demand
15/25

The faculty labor market is large, but seat quality and field mix matter: health, technical, professional, lab, and research-heavy programs can need faculty while enrollment pressure, real pay drag, and contingent labor weaken the broad market.

Sub-components
Volume
6/10

The family count used for scoring is large: about 1.72 million jobs, about 136,400 annual openings, and roughly 5.9% projected growth. The public faculty profile a reader can check shows about 1.42 million jobs and about 114,000 openings after excluding career/technical and all-other groups, which still supports the same volume score.

Sources feeding this sub-component
BLS Employment Projections → Shows about 1.72 million jobs, about 136,400 annual openings, and roughly 5.9% growth for the full postsecondary-teacher family.
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook - Postsecondary Teachers → Shows a reader-checkable faculty profile of about 1.42 million jobs after excluding career/technical and all-other groups.
Source Quality
5/8

The demand evidence is mixed rather than weak. Replacement hiring, professional programs, health specialties, lab and studio instruction, retirements, and field-specific growth support need. Enrollment cliffs, state funding pressure, adjunct standardization, and AI-supported course delivery keep the demand story from reaching the top band.

Sources feeding this sub-component
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook - Postsecondary Teachers → Describes faculty duties, settings, education pathways, and demand context.
Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education projections → Provides enrollment-demography context for college demand pressure.
Resilience
4/7

Higher education is durable, but it is exposed to enrollment shifts, state funding, tuition pressure, online delivery, adjunct labor, and real-wage drag. A 2015 all-postsecondary median inflated into 2025 dollars is about $87,500, above the 2025 family median of $82,250. That pay pressure matters for a long credential path.

Sources feeding this sub-component
BLS Career Outlook teaching article → Reports a 2015 all-postsecondary teacher median wage of $64,450.
BLS wage tables → Shows the 2025 family median wage of $82,250 for postsecondary teachers.
Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index data → Inflates the 2015 wage into about $87,500 in 2025 dollars for the real-wage comparison.
What would move the score
Scenario 1
Enrollment pressure hits staffing harder.

The threshold is visible hiring contraction: fewer full-time searches, more canceled sections, heavier reliance on contingent instructors, or department cuts beyond already weak fields. Enrollment weakness alone is not enough; it has to change funded teaching seats that students can actually compete for.

Direction
Down, modest
Components affected
Demand
Scenario 2
AI-supported course delivery changes staffing.

The score would weaken if colleges use AI tutoring, grading support, and course shells to reduce instructor time in large intro or online courses. The trigger is a staffing model change, not just more teaching tools or faculty experimenting with software.

Direction
Down, meaningful
Components affected
Automation Resistance, Demand
Scenario 3
Professional and clinical programs expand real seats.

The score would strengthen if health, technical, lab, studio, or professional programs create durable full-time teaching seats with stable funding. Strong student interest alone is not enough; the gain has to show up in jobs with pay, benefits, and renewal security.

Direction
Up, modest
Components affected
Demand, Structural Moat
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Last reviewed June 2026 · Next September 2026